Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.098658 0.113934 0.130791 0.150776 0.173828 0.199589 0.230574
2026-01-25 0.072788 0.092801 0.117141 0.148931 0.189386 0.239198 0.305278
2026-02-01 0.057448 0.078489 0.105876 0.144154 0.196337 0.265102 0.362811
2026-02-08 0.049442 0.071467 0.101766 0.146522 0.211059 0.300945 0.436036
2026-02-15 0.042997 0.065255 0.097376 0.147147 0.222493 0.332586 0.506290
2026-02-22 0.038304 0.060721 0.094483 0.149085 0.235415 0.367085 0.584073
2026-03-01 0.033379 0.055056 0.088999 0.146079 0.239975 0.388895 0.644255
2026-03-08 0.029471 0.050428 0.084448 0.143763 0.244983 0.411437 0.707567
2026-03-15 0.026890 0.047622 0.082430 0.145208 0.256087 0.444717 0.792083
2026-03-22 0.025564 0.046769 0.083522 0.151964 0.276840 0.496205 0.913578
2026-03-29 0.024005 0.045288 0.083309 0.156291 0.293617 0.542303 1.030348
2026-04-05 0.022498 0.043710 0.082708 0.159760 0.309071 0.587412 1.150037
2026-04-12 0.020807 0.041621 0.080999 0.161074 0.320849 0.627422 1.265629
2026-04-19 0.018899 0.038891 0.077779 0.159101 0.326041 0.655476 1.361183
2026-04-26 0.016878 0.035689 0.073270 0.153997 0.324299 0.669541 1.429725
2026-05-03 0.015868 0.034450 0.072543 0.156527 0.338448 0.717000 1.573048
2026-05-10 0.014780 0.032915 0.071028 0.157196 0.348673 0.757280 1.705399
2026-05-17 0.013923 0.031777 0.070218 0.159266 0.362098 0.805633 1.860801
2026-05-24 0.012714 0.029716 0.067187 0.156053 0.363371 0.827541 1.958787
2026-05-31 0.011684 0.027947 0.064612 0.153579 0.366015 0.852698 2.067012
2026-06-07 0.011037 0.027004 0.063806 0.155124 0.378189 0.900824 2.235149
2026-06-14 0.010817 0.027058 0.065314 0.162342 0.404700 0.985170 2.500932
2026-06-21 0.010436 0.026675 0.065741 0.166965 0.425353 1.057633 2.745350